According to the source, Polymarket’s January Federal Reserve decision market is pricing an 87% chance that the Fed will not lower interest rates in January, based on live pricing on Polymarket (source: Polymarket). The implied probability is derived from prediction market prices and updates in real time as participants trade, providing a market-based gauge that crypto traders can monitor when assessing BTC and ETH positioning (source: Polymarket).

According to the source, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated the Federal Reserve will deliver 2% inflation and said tariffs are causing most of the current inflation overshoot; source: Jerome Powell public remarks on Dec 10, 2025; source: Federal Reserve Board long-run inflation objective. For trading, Powell’s attribution makes tariff policy a primary driver to monitor alongside CPI and PCE when assessing the policy path; source: Jerome Powell remarks; source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis release calendars. For crypto markets, IMF research shows Bitcoin has closely tracked risk assets since 2020, making Fed-driven shifts in financial conditions relevant for BTC and ETH price action; source: International Monetary Fund, 2022 analysis of crypto–equity correlations. Traders should prioritize tracking USTR tariff announcements, inflation prints, and FOMC communications as catalysts for rate expectations that transmit to digital assets; source: Office of the U.S. Trade Representative; source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; source: Federal Reserve.

According to @cas_abbe, quantitative tightening ends in two days and rate cuts are next, framing the strongest macro backdrop in months for risk assets, source: @cas_abbe. According to @cas_abbe, altcoins are still trading at a significant discount, prompting a market-wide discussion on what to accumulate, source: @cas_abbe.

According to the source, a Weekly Crypto Forecast live broadcast on X dated Nov 10, 2025 covers BTC, macro, and Polymarket for traders; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025. The agenda centers on Bitcoin price outlook (BTC), macroeconomic drivers, and prediction-market sentiment relevant to trade setup planning; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025. Traders can access the X broadcast to incorporate real-time insights into BTC risk management and positioning; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025.